Ukraine Update 27 February, 2022 (Late Evening)

-Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in a telephone discussion with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson earlier this evening, said the next twenty-four hours will be critical for Ukraine. With more Russian columns moving towards Kiev, an assault on the city is edging closer to becoming reality. Great Britain and other European nations are doing all they can to move as much military equipment into Ukraine as possible. The EU is even pushing to start the delivery of combat aircraft from member-states to Ukraine within a matter of hours. These moves come as the tempo of Russian operations has increased over the last twenty-four hours. Ukraine’s general staff even admitted that Sunday was a difficult day for its forces, but failed to go into detail except to point out that friendly forces at Vasylkiv Airbase southeast of Kiev are enduring heavy artillery and rocket attacks.

-Negotiations between delegations of Russian and Ukrainian officials are set to take place at the Belarussian border Monday morning around 10 AM local time. Expectations are low for these talks and the overall perception is that Vladimir Putin will use their failure to increase the pressure on Kiev dramatically in the aftermath of the meeting.

-The UN Security Council voted today to convene an emergency session of the UN General Assembly on Monday to discuss the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Eleven of the fifteen UNSC members voted in favor and only Russia voted against. However, since this was a procedural motion, Russia could not exercise its veto power. China, India and the United Arab Emirates abstained.

US-North Korea Talks Postponed

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US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and high-level North Korean official Kim Yong Chol were supposed to hold meetings today in New York. The White House announced yesterday that the meeting was being postponed until a later date. Today, South Korean Foreign Minister Kang Kyung-wha revealed it was Pyongyang that had requested a delay. Sanctions appear to be the reason behind the request. Pyongyang has been pushing for the US and UN sanctions in place against them to be lightened before serious talks on denuclearization progress farther.

The two sides view the future of sanctions quite differently. The Trump administration insists on keeping sanctions in place until a final agreement on denuclearization is reached. The North Koreans, on the other hand, want sanctions to be relaxed at least somewhat. Kim Jong Un is seeking victory of sorts. A sign that can be touted at home and overseas as proof that the US is treating North Korea as an equal and negotiating in good faith. Unfortunately for them, the United States appears unlikely to deliver such a gift at the moment.

It’s unclear when the meeting will take place, or whether it will at all. This delay needs to be taken with a grain of salt, however. Pauses in dialogue, and brief volleys of heated rhetoric have become recurrent events in the US-North Korean relationship. This is simply part of the process and following this latest pause, the talking will resume at some point.

 

Tuesday 19 September, 2017 Update: Trump Addresses the United Nations

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President Trump’s first address to the UN General Assembly came at a point in time when a sizable portion of world leaders have been wondering what shape America First foreign policy will take. They received an answer this morning, and as an added bonus the world was also given an brief glimpse at the pillars of a potential Trump Doctrine. The US President’s speech contained blunt language and was missing the diplospeak and doubletalk that is common in world leaders’ addresses to the General Assembly.

North Korea was the main talking point. First off, to be clear, his referring to Kim Jong Un as ‘Rocket Man’ once again did not belittle, or minimize the urgency surrounding the North Korean nuclear crisis. Trump made it clear that the US will welcome UN efforts to bring an end to North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs. He followed up by letting it be known that if the crisis continues on its current trajectory, the US may be forced to “totally destroy” North Korea. Trump’s words were not an idle threat, or a rambunctious boasting of US military capabilities. Should North Korea launch an ICBM at US territory successfully, Trump will have no choice but to turn North Korea into the world’s largest sheet of glass. The North’s UN ambassador did not watch the speech in person, unfortunately. He opted to leave the chamber before the US President began speaking.

Iran was also in the crosshairs today. Trump dismissed the nuclear deal between Iran, the US and other world powers. Just as he did on the campaign trail last year, Trump blasted the deal as an embarrassment to the US and hinted that it will be revisited in the future. In fact, the Trump administration is currently reviewing the deal and next month the president plans to announce his intentions with regards to its future.

Venezuela was another target of Trump’s criticism. He hinted of a coming expansion of the already wide economic sanctions now in place on Venezuela if Nicolas Maduro continues to impose authoritarian rule. He did not repeat an earlier threat to consider military action as such a move would not receive support from most Latin American allies of the US. Nevertheless, by affording Venezuela as much attention as North Korea and Iran, Trump made it clear how important the US considers the crisis in Venezuela to be.

World leaders and journalists at home will spend the next week dissecting the speech in an attempt to determine what Trump was saying between the lines. The effort will prove to be an exercise in futility. Today’s address was clear, concise,  painstakingly honest, and made an indelible impression on America’s allies and enemies alike.