No Mediation In Sight For The Conflict In Northern Ethiopia

Ethiopia is resisting calls for international mediation as the conflict in its northern Tigray region. Fighting has been taking place there since 4 November when Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed ordered a ground offensive and air strikes on Tigray in response to local leaders there defying his authority. The fighting is bringing on a humanitarian crisis. Casualties are over 1,000 according to third-party NGO sources, and over 25,000 refugees are flooding into Sudan. To make matters even more dire, the conflict is spilling over into Eritrea. The bad blood between Eritrea and Ethiopia is well known and it’s safe to assume that if the fighting continues it will endanger Eritrea-Ethiopia relations, which have been improving in recent times.

Ethiopia’s move into Tigray was long-expected. The establishment of the Prosperity Party in December, 2019 as a replacement to the Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front was bitterly opposed by the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) which viewed the merger as illegal and did not take part. In September, 2020 regional elections were held in Tigray against the wishes of the central government. Ahmed has regarded these elections as a step towards Tigray secession and was likely a prime reason for the military offensive.

There have been claims of victories, liberated towns, and casualties coming from all corners of the conflict. At present though, communications mainly down and the media is barred from the battle zone, making independent verification almost impossible. On Monday, Ethiopian warplanes attacked Mekelle, the capital city, of the Tigray region, according to Ethiopian government sources. There has been no word on what the intended targets were, or of casualties.

European Migrant Crisis Update 14, September, 2015: Tightening Borders

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Some European Union nations are beginning to impose border controls and checks in an effort to cope with the influx of immigrants from Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and Eritrea. Germany announced that It would place checks on its border with Austria. Shortly after, Austria, Slovakia and the Netherlands announced that they would also be tightening border controls. Hungary is also moving ahead with its own border controls by midnight. The Hungarian plan includes completing a fence along the border with Serbia and stricter measures for dealing with illegal immigrants going into effect.

The current situation stems from Germany welcoming the refugees with open arms and agreeing to accept a large number. Perhaps the decision was made as a way to get other EU nations to do more for the refugees. As time goes on, though, the apathetic responses of other EU members remain unchanged. So now Germany finds itself in an awkward and not entirely unfamiliar position. It can either come out of this situation appearing indecisive or as attempting to strong arm its EU neighbors into taking actions they really do not want to take.

This afternoon EU ministers are holding an emergency session in Brussels to try and work out a comprehensive, coordinated plan to deal with the influx of migrants. No concrete results have appeared yet. Central and Eastern European nations are balking at plans to accept fixed quotas of migrants.

As it faces its largest humanitarian crisis in decades, Europe has not yet come together in putting together a plan to contend with the waves of refugees and asylum seekers. The Schengen Agreement, signed in 1985, was designed to assure passport-free movement between EU nations. The recent moves to impose border controls are allowed, however, only for temporary time allotments and in extreme circumstances.

A permanent solution needs to be found soon. Otherwise, the future of a border-free Europe will be uncertain. Much like the Greece Debt Crisis, this latest challenge to the European Union seems to be doing little more than eroding the power of the EU.