Ukraine Update 6 March, 2022 (Noon, EST)

  • China’s winter wheat harvest could be the ‘worst in its history’ according to Minister of Agriculture and Rural Affairs Tang Renjian. Rare heavy rainfall over the winter season prevented or delayed planting for 1/3 of the wheat acreage. China is the world’s largest wheat consumer and now there are legitimate concerns about its grain supplies. The war in Ukraine has already pushed grain prices to a 14 year high. Together, the two nations produce roughly 30% of wheat exports globally. With the terrible harvest, China now has added justification to purchase grain from Russia in the midst of economic sanctions.
  • Discussions between the US and Poland over a transfer of Polish MiG-29s to Ukraine continue. A deal is under consideration which would replace the MiGs Poland sends to Ukraine with US aircraft. An agreement has not been reached yet amid US concerns that the deal will be viewed as an escalatory move.
  • Airpower is on Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s mind following a morning Russian cruise missile attack on Vinnytsia airport in central Ukraine. The dual international airport/Ukrainian airbase was struck by eight cruise missiles and heavily damaged. Zelenskiy released a video address soon afterward. In it he made an impassioned plea for a no fly zone or replacement aircraft to make up for Ukrainian fighter losses. “If you don’t, if you don’t give us at least planes so we can protect ourselves, there’s only one thing to conclude; you want us to be killed very slowly.” His comments certainly indicate Ukraine is losing the war in the air at this point.

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